INDIANA POLL RESULTS – OCTOBER 2008
The Research 2000 Indiana Poll was conducted from September 29 through October 3, 2008 and again from October 24 through October 28, 2008. A total of 800 likely voters who vote regularly in state elections were interviewed statewide by telephone.
Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect the voter registration of distribution by county.
The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 3.5% percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the “true” figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as for gender or party affiliation.
NOTE: Over sampling was conducted in Marion County and in the Democratic Primary. The margin for error for each is no more than plus or minus 5% percentage points.
| Sample Data: | ||||||
October 24-28 | September 29-October 3 | |||||
Men | 385 | 48% | 384 | 48% | ||
| Women | 415 | 52% | 416 | 52% | ||
| Democrats | 289 | 36% | 288 | 36% | ||
| Republicans | 334 | 42% | 336 | 42% | ||
| Other | 177 | 22% | 176 | 22% | ||
| White | 695 | 87% | 696 | 87% | ||
| Black | 83 | 10% | 81 | 10% | ||
| Other | 22 | 3% | 23 | 3% | ||
| 18-29 | 145 | 18% | 144 | 18% | ||
| 30-44 | 245 | 31% | 248 | 31% | ||
| 45-59 | 209 | 26% | 208 | 26% | ||
| 60+ | 201 | 25% | 200 | 25% | ||
| Presidental Race | ||||||||
October 24-28 | September 29-October 3 | |||||||
Favorable | Unfavorable | No Opinion | Favorable | Unfavorable | No Opinion | |||
| John McCain | 52% | 43% | 5% | 51% | 42% | 7% | ||
| Barack Obama | 51% | 41% | 8% | 52% | 38% | 10% | ||
| Sarah Palin | 45% | 48% | 7% | 44% | 35% | 21% | ||
| Joe Biden | 48% | 37% | 15% | 47% | 33% | 20% | ||
| QUESTION: If the election for President were held today, would you vote for the Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Republican ticket of John McCain and Sarah Palin, or another candidate? | ||||||||||
October 24-28 | September 29-October 3 | |||||||||
McCain | Obama | Other | Undecided | McCain | Obama | Other | Undecided | |||
| ALL | 47% | 47% | 3% | 3% | 46% | 46% | 3% | 5% | ||
Men | 52% | 44% | 3% | 1% | 51% | 43% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Women | 42% | 20% | 3% | 5% | 41% | 49% | 3% | 7% | ||
| Democrats | 8% | 89% | 2% | 1% | 7% | 88% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Republicans | 84% | 8% | 3% | 5% | 83% | 7% | 3% | 7% | ||
| Other | 41% | 52% | 3% | 4% | 40% | 51% | 3% | 6% | ||
| White | 52% | 42% | 3% | 3% | 51% | 41% | 3% | 5% | ||
| Black | 4% | 89% | - | 7% | 4% | 88% | - | 8% | ||
| 18-29 | 42% | 53% | 2% | 3% | 42% | 51% | 2% | 5% | ||
| 30-44 | 52% | 43% | 4% | 1% | 50% | 43% | 4% | 6% | ||
| 45-59 | 46% | 49% | 3% | 2% | 45% | 48% | 3% | 4% | ||
| 60+ | 49% | 44% | 3% | 4% | 48% | 43% | 3% | 6% | ||
| Indianapolis | 42% | 52% | 4% | 2% | 41% | 51% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Marion County | 43% | 51% | 3% | 3% | 42% | 50% | 3% | 5% | ||
| Most Important Issue: QUESTION: What is the single most important issue in determining your vote for President? (NOT READ): | ||||||||
October 24-28 | September 29-October 3 | |||||||
All | Men | Women | All | Men | Women | |||
Economy | 45% | 43% | 47% | 39% | 35% | 43% | ||
Taxes/Spending | 14% | 18% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 8% | ||
| Gas/Energy Costs | 8% | 9% | 7% | 14% | 15% | 13% | ||
Health Care Costs | 8% | 4% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 9% | ||
War on terror | 7% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 4% | ||
War in Iraq | 6% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 8% | ||
Immigration | 5% | 7% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 4% | ||
Education | 4% | 2% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 7% | ||
Social Security | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||
Candidate Qualities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
Other/Don't Know | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Governor Race | ||||||||
October 24-28 | September 29-October 3 | |||||||
Favorable | Unfavorable | No Opinion | Favorable | Unfavorable | No Opinion | |||
| Mitch Daniels | 51% | 41% | 8% | 49% | 39% | 12% | ||
| Jill Long-Thompson | 46% | 42% | 12% | 48% | 34% | 18% | ||
| QUESTION:If the election for Governor were held today, would you vote for the Democratic ticket of Jill Long Thompson and Dennie Oxley, the Republican ticket of Mitch Daniels and Becky Skillman, the Libertarian ticket of Andrew Horning and Lisa Kelly, or another candidate? | ||||||||||
October 24-28 | September 29-October 3 | |||||||||
Daniels | Long-Thompson | Other | Undecided | Daniels | Long-Thompson | Other | Undecided | |||
| ALL | 54% | 40% | 2% | 4% | 49% | 45% | 3% | 3% | ||
Men | 59% | 36% | 2% | 3% | 54% | 41% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Women | 49% | 44% | 2% | 5% | 44% | 49% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Democrats | 12% | 83% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 87% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Republicans | 90% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 85% | 7% | 3% | 5% | ||
| Other | 55% | 38% | 1% | 6% | 47% | 48% | 3% | 2% | ||
| White | 60% | 36% | 2% | 2% | 54% | 12% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Black | 5% | 75% | - | 3% | 6% | 72% | - | 22% | ||
| 18-29 | 50% | 44% | 2% | 4% | 45% | 50% | 2% | 3% | ||
| 30-44 | 57% | 37% | 2% | 4% | 52% | 42% | 4% | 2% | ||
| 45-59 | 53% | 42% | 2% | 3% | 48% | 47% | 3% | 2% | ||
| 60+ | 56% | 37% | 2% | 5% | 51% | 42% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Indianapolis | 50% | 42% | 3% | 5% | 44% | 48% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Marion County | 49% | 43% | 2% | 6% | 44% | 49% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Seventh Congressional District Poll | ||||||||||
| A total of 400 likely voters were interviewed by telephone. Margin for error is 5%. QUESTION: If the election for Congress were held today, would you vote for Andre Carson, the Democrat, or Gabrielle Campo, the Republican? | ||||||||||
October 24-28 | September 29-October 3 | |||||||||
Carson | Campo | Other | Undecided | Carson | Elrod | Other | Undecided | |||
| ALL | 53% | 38% | 3% | 6% | 51% | 35% | 3% | 11% | ||
Men | 49% | 42% | 4% | 5% | 48% | 39% | 4% | 9% | ||
| Women | 57% | 34% | 2% | 7% | 54% | 31% | 2% | 13% | ||
| Democrats | 83% | 7% | 2% | 8% | 80% | 5% | 2% | 13% | ||
| Republicans | 7% | 86% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 82% | 3% | 9% | ||
| Other | 52% | 40% | 3% | 5% | 52% | 34% | 5% | 9% | ||
| White | 34% | 55% | 5% | 6% | 32% | 49% | 5% | 14% | ||
| Black | 89% | 6% | 5% | 87% | 7% | 6% | ||||
| Other | 77% | 17% | 6% | 76% | 19% | 5% | ||||
| Sample Figures | Sample Figures | |||||||||
| Democrats | 187 | 46% | 184 | 46% | ||||||
| Republicans | 117 | 30% | 119 | 30% | ||||||
| Others | 96 | 24% | 97 | 24% | ||||||
| White | 255 | 65% | 257 | 65% | ||||||
| Black | 110 | 27% | 109 | 27% | ||||||
| Other | 35 | 8% | 34 | 8% | ||||||
| Ninth Congressional District Poll | ||||||||||
| A total of 400 likely voters were interviewed by telephone. Margin for error is 5%. QUESTION: If the election for Congress were held today, would you vote for Baron Hill, the Democrat, or Mike Sodrel, the Republican? | ||||||||||
October 24-28 | September 29-October 3 | |||||||||
Hill | Sodrel | Schansberg | Undecided | Hill | Sodrel | Other | Undecided | |||
| ALL | 53% | 40% | 4% | 3% | 49% | 37% | 4% | 10% | ||
Men | 49% | 43% | 5% | 3% | 47% | 40% | 5% | 8% | ||
| Women | 57% | 37% | 3% | 3% | 52% | 34% | 3% | 12% | ||
| Democrats | 88% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 86% | 6% | 3% | 5% | ||
| Republicans | 17% | 73% | 4% | 6% | 14% | 69% | 4% | 13% | ||
| Other | 57% | 35% | 6% | 2% | 52% | 32% | 5% | 11% | ||
| Sample Figures | Sample Figures | |||||||||
| Democrats | 145 | 36% | 143 | 36% | ||||||
| Republicans | 155 | 39% | 156 | 39% | ||||||
| Others | 100 | 25% | 101 | 25% | ||||||
Financial Crisis | ||||||||
October 24-28 | ||||||||
Approve | Dissapprove | Not Sure | ||||||
| All | 32% | 61% | 7% | |||||
| Democrats | 35% | 56% | 9% | |||||
| Republicans | 29% | 66% | 5% | |||||
| Independents | 31% | 61% | 8% | |||||
QUESTION: Should the government take part ownership in banks and other institutions to help solve the financial crisis? | ||||||||
October 24-28 | ||||||||
Approve | Dissapprove | Not Sure | ||||||
| All | 32% | 61% | 7% | |||||
| Democrats | 35% | 56% | 9% | |||||
| Republicans | 29% | 66% | 5% | |||||
| Independents | 31% | 61% | 8% | |||||
