Could first snowflakes fall this weekend?

INDIANAPOLIS (WISH) – With cold air pushing into central Indiana, we’re setting up for our first snow flakes of the season. But the question remains: How much snow will we see?

As with most winter systems, timing is everything. Especially in late fall and early winter, the cold air tends to chase the rain. Saturday will be no different.

A weak system will arrive late Friday night, increasing clouds and keeping overnight temperatures mild. Rain will arrive by morning.

Most locations in central Indiana will see rain falling Saturday morning with temperatures in the upper 30s and low 40s. Colder air will not arrive until later in the afternoon, when most of the precipitation is done.

A few areas in extreme northern parts of central Indiana could change to snow at this time, but with warm ground temperatures and air temperatures near or above freezing, most will likely melt.

By the afternoon and evening on Saturday colder air finally arrives. A change to snow is expected, but by this time most of the moisture will be gone.

Wrap around snow showers provide the best chance for accumulating snow in central Indiana. Snow totals could reach 1 inch or more in northern Indiana, but our northern communities (Lafayette, Logansport, Peru, Kokomo, Monticello) will likely see less than an inch.

For the Indianapolis metro area, snow showers could be possible late Saturday, but accumulation will be very light, if at all.