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Wall Street rallies again as election-week gains continue

A sign for Wall Street is carved in the side of a building, Thursday, Nov. 5, 2020, in New York. U.S. futures and world shares have surged as investors await the outcome of the U.S. presidential election and embrace the upside of more gridlock in Washington. (AP Photo/Mark Lennihan)

(AP) — Wall Street’s post-election wave swept stocks solidly higher again Thursday, pushing the S&P 500 toward its biggest weekly gain since April.

Markets are banking on Tuesday’s election leading to split control of Congress, which could mean low tax rates, lighter regulation on businesses and other policies that investors like remain the status quo. The election still hasn’t made clear who will run the White House next year, though Joe Biden is pushing closer toward the needed mark.

The S&P 500 rose 1.9%, its fourth straight
gain of more than 1%, and is now up 7.4% for the week. That would be its
best week since the market was exploding out of the crater created in
February and March by panic about the coronavirus pandemic.

“The
presidential election is not settled, the Senate is not settled, but
we’re getting a post-election rally,” said Ross Mayfield, investment
strategist at Baird. “The odds at this point seem fairly set in stone,
so investors are feeling pretty comfortable making the bets that they’re
making.”

The S&P 500 rose 67.01 points to 3,510.45. The Dow
Jones Industrial Average gained 542.52 points, or 1.9%, to 28,390.18.
The Nasdaq composite climbed 300.15 points, or 2.6%, to 11,890.93. Small
company stocks also had a strong showing. The Russell 2000 small-cap
index picked up 44.96 points, or 2.8%, to 1,660.05.

The indexes
and U.S. bond yields held steady after the Federal Reserve issued its
latest monetary policy update. The central bank said that it will leave
its key interest rate at a record low near zero. It also reaffirmed its
readiness to do more if needed to support the economy under threat from a
worsening coronavirus pandemic.

Technology stocks helped power
the rally, as they have through the pandemic and for years before that.
Rising expectations that Republicans can hold onto the Senate
are easing investors’ worries that a Democratic-controlled Washington
would beef up antitrust laws and go after Big Tech more aggressively.

Apple
climbed 3.5%, Microsoft rose 3.2%, and Amazon added 2.5%. Facebook
gained 2.5% and Google’s parent company rose 1%. They’re also the five
biggest stocks in the S&P 500 by market value.

Shares in
cannabis companies marched higher after voters in several states cleared
the way for sales of legal marijuana for adult or medical use. Tilray
jumped 30.3%, though the stock is still down 54.4% so far this year.

Broadly, markets are seeing split control of Congress as a case of what Mizuho Bank calls “Goldilocks Gridlock.”

Investors
see cause for optimism if either Biden or President Donald Trump
ultimately wins the presidency, and what they want most of all is just
for a clear winner to emerge. Stocks “fear uncertainty rather than the
actual outcome,” strategists at Barclays wrote in a report.

But
the expectation that Biden has a chance of winning has also raised hopes
that U.S. foreign policies might be “more clear,” said Jackson Wong,
asset management director of Amber Hill Capital. He added, “investors
are cheering for that. That’s why the markets are performing well.”

Stocks also climbed across European and Asian markets Thursday.

Wall
Street’s rally was widespread, with about 82% of stocks in the S&P
500 closing higher. Qualcomm jumped 12.7% for one of the biggest gains
in the index after it reported stronger revenue and profit for the
latest quarter than analysts expected.

That’s been the strongest
trend through this earnings season, which is close to wrapping up.
S&P 500 companies are on pace to report a drop in profits of roughly
8% from year-ago levels. That’s much milder than the nearly 21% decline
Wall Street was forecasting at the start of last month.

Still,
many analysts warn volatility may lie ahead. Big swings could return as
the threat of a contested, drawn-out election still looms.

Trump’s campaign has filed legal challenges
in some key swing states, though it’s unclear whether they can shift
the race in his favor. A long court battle without a clear winner of the
presidency could raise uncertainty and drag down stocks, analysts say.

But
concerns about any big changes in tax policy during the next
administration have mostly abated now that control of Congress looks as
if it will remain split, said Megan Horneman, director of portfolio
strategy at Verdence Capital Advisors.

“History tends to tells us
that investors like gridlock because there’s really not a big chance of
legislative surprises,” she said

Split control of Washington also
carries potential downsides. Gridlock may lessen the chances of the U.S.
government coming together on a deal to deliver a big shot of stimulus
for the economy, for example.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury
held steady at 0.77%. It had been above 0.90% earlier this week, when
markets were still thinking a Democratic sweep was possible that could
lead to a big stimulus package for the economy.

The pandemic continues to weigh on economies around the world, with counts rising at troubling rates across much of Europe and the United States. Several European governments have brought back restrictions on businesses in hopes of slowing the spread.

AP Business Writer Elaine Kurtenbach contributed.